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Frost dates for Mianyang, China

Half of years have their last spring frost by February 5, but 1 year in 10 still frosts after February 19.

A frost date is really a percentile, here from 30 years (1991 to 2020) of a weather model’s daily lows near Mianyang: in about half of years a frost still comes after the median date. Both numbers are below, so you can choose the risk yourself.

The odds

Last spring frost

How often a frost still comes on or after each date.

1 year in 10
February 19
1 year in 5
February 12
3 years in 10
February 10
2 years in 5
February 7
Half of years (the median)
February 5

First fall freeze

How often the first freeze comes on or before each date.

1 year in 10
December 10
1 year in 5
December 13
3 years in 10
December 14
2 years in 5
December 15
Half of years (the median)
December 20
Growing season
about 321 days
Hardiness zone nearby
9b, estimated from the weather model

Where these numbers come from

Modeled, not measured. No weather station stands behind these dates. They come from ERA5, a reconstruction of the world’s weather from 1991 to 2020 made by ECMWF, Europe’s medium-range weather forecasting agency, for the EU’s Copernicus program, and read here through Open-Meteo. They are the model’s daily lows for the point at 31.25, 104.75, 25 km (15 miles) from the center of Mianyang. A frost here means a low at or below 0 °C (32 °F).

A weather model sees the land in squares about 25 km (16 miles) across, so it can miss what sets one garden apart from the next: a frost hollow, a hillside, a lakeshore, a city’s own warmth. The Milpa planner reads these same numbers for a garden here and grades them A good hunch.

Cold air also pools in low ground on the clear, still nights when frost happens, so a hollow can freeze while a slope a hundred meters away does not. No table can know that about your garden. Your own logged frosts eventually can.

Weather data by Open-Meteo.com, under CC BY 4.0. Contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information, 2026.

What can I plant here, and when? ›

Nearby cities

The nearest cities with a frost page here, and how their last-frost dates compare.

Other cities in China.

All locations · Frost dates in China · All plants