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Frost dates for Warrenton 3 SE, Virginia

Half of years have their last spring frost by April 9, but 1 year in 10 still frosts after April 28.

A frost date is really a percentile from 30 years of records at a nearby weather station: in about half of years a frost still comes after the median date. Both numbers are below, so you can choose the risk yourself.

The odds

Last spring frost

How often a frost still comes on or after each date.

1 year in 10
April 28
1 year in 5
April 20
3 years in 10
April 15
2 years in 5
April 12
Half of years (the median)
April 9

First fall freeze

How often the first freeze comes on or before each date.

1 year in 10
October 18
1 year in 5
October 23
3 years in 10
October 27
2 years in 5
October 29
Half of years (the median)
November 1
Growing season
about 205 days
Hardiness zone nearby
7a
Summer days
a usual high of about 28 °C83 °F
Lettuce and spinach run to seed
June to September, in hot, long days (how we know)

Summer heat

Month by month

January
high ~6 °C42 °F · low ~-4 °C25 °F
February
high ~8 °C46 °F · low ~-3 °C27 °F
March
high ~12 °C54 °F · low ~1 °C33 °F
April
high ~19 °C66 °F · low ~6 °C44 °F
May
high ~23 °C73 °F · low ~11 °C52 °F
June
high ~27 °C81 °F · low ~16 °C61 °F
July
high ~29 °C85 °F · low ~19 °C66 °F
August
high ~29 °C84 °F · low ~18 °C64 °F
September
high ~25 °C78 °F · low ~14 °C58 °F
October
high ~19 °C67 °F · low ~8 °C46 °F
November
high ~13 °C56 °F · low ~2 °C36 °F
December
high ~8 °C46 °F · low ~-2 °C29 °F

Where these numbers come from

NOAA NCEI 1991–2020 Climate Normals, the Warrenton 3 SE station (listed by NOAA as Warrenton 3 SE, USC00448888), at 38.68, -77.77. These are that station’s own records, unshifted. The further your garden is from it, the less exactly they describe your ground. The planner finds the nearest station to your garden and lowers its confidence with distance, so no number is presented as if it were measured in your garden.

Cold air also pools in low ground on the clear, still nights when frost happens, so a hollow can freeze while a slope a few hundred feet away does not. No table can know that about your garden. A few seasons of your own logged frosts can.

ZIP codes nearest this station

20106, 20115, 20119, 20137, 20139, 20144, 20186, 20187, 20198, 22433, 22643, 22712…

+10 moreShow fewer

22714, 22718, 22720, 22724, 22726, 22728, 22734, 22736, 22741, 22742.

Nearby stations

The nearest stations and how their last-frost dates compare. Together they show how frost varies across your area.

Other stations in Virginia.

What can I plant now? ›

When do I plant? · Where the dates come from

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