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Frost dates for Buffalo, New York

Half of years have their last spring frost by April 24, but 1 year in 10 still frosts after May 9.

A frost date is really a percentile from 30 years of records at a nearby weather station: in about half of years a frost still comes after the median date. Both numbers are below, so you can choose the risk yourself.

The odds

Last spring frost

How often a frost still comes on or after each date.

1 year in 10
May 9
1 year in 5
May 3
3 years in 10
April 30
2 years in 5
April 28
Half of years (the median)
April 24

First fall freeze

How often the first freeze comes on or before each date.

1 year in 10
October 10
1 year in 5
October 16
3 years in 10
October 19
2 years in 5
October 23
Half of years (the median)
October 26
Growing season
about 183 days
Hardiness zones nearby
6a, 6b
Summer days
a usual high of about 26 °C78 °F
Lettuce and spinach run to seed
June to August, in hot, long days (how we know)

Summer and rain

A growing garden needs about 25 mm1 in of water a week, rain and watering together. Here is what a normal month brings.

Month by month

January
high ~0 °C32 °F · low ~-7 °C19 °F · rain ~85 mm3.4 in
February
high ~1 °C33 °F · low ~-7 °C20 °F · rain ~63 mm2.5 in
March
high ~5 °C42 °F · low ~-3 °C26 °F · rain ~73 mm2.9 in
April
high ~13 °C55 °F · low ~2 °C36 °F · rain ~86 mm3.4 in
May
high ~20 °C67 °F · low ~9 °C48 °F · rain ~86 mm3.4 in
June
high ~24 °C76 °F · low ~14 °C58 °F · rain ~86 mm3.4 in
July
high ~27 °C80 °F · low ~17 °C63 °F · rain ~82 mm3.2 in
August
high ~26 °C79 °F · low ~16 °C62 °F · rain ~82 mm3.2 in
September
high ~22 °C72 °F · low ~12 °C54 °F · rain ~104 mm4.1 in
October
high ~15 °C60 °F · low ~7 °C44 °F · rain ~102 mm4 in
November
high ~9 °C48 °F · low ~1 °C34 °F · rain ~89 mm3.5 in
December
high ~3 °C37 °F · low ~-4 °C26 °F · rain ~95 mm3.7 in

Where these numbers come from

NOAA NCEI 1991–2020 Climate Normals, the Buffalo station (listed by NOAA as Buffalo HCN, USW00014733), at 42.95, -78.74. These are that station’s own records, unshifted. The further your garden is from it, the less exactly they describe your ground. The planner finds the nearest station to your garden and lowers its confidence with distance, so no number is presented as if it were measured in your garden.

Cold air also pools in low ground on the clear, still nights when frost happens, so a hollow can freeze while a slope a few hundred feet away does not. No table can know that about your garden. A few seasons of your own logged frosts can.

ZIP codes nearest this station

14001, 14026, 14031, 14032, 14036, 14043, 14051, 14086, 14201, 14202, 14203, 14204, 14206, 14208, 14209, 14210, 14211, 14212, 14213, 14214, 14215, 14216, 14218, 14220, 14221, 14222, 14223, 14224, 14225, 14226, 14227.

What can I plant here, and when? ›

Nearby stations

The nearest stations and how their last-frost dates compare. Together they show how frost varies across your area.

Other stations in New York.

All locations · All plants · Folklore, checked